Daniels, Huckabee, and Huntsman were the three possible GOP candidates that would have carried for sure their home state. With Daniels and Huckabee out, the GOP is down to one--Governor Huntsman.
But Governor Huntsman has three strikes against him in the Republican primaries.
Strike one: He was nominated by and served President Obama as Ambassador to China.
Strike two: He favors civil union rights for gays and lesbians.
Strike three: He accepts climate science and believes global warming due to pollution is real.
Within the modern GOP, I am not sure which of those three strikes is worse. But Governor Romney, Governor Pawlenty, and Speaker Gingrich have all walked way back and flipped and flopped on global warming, as to be a Republican in good standing requires aligning with Senator Inhofe that global warming is a hoax.
The Home State Barometer predicts that any presidential candidate that would lose his or her home state or struggle to hold it loses the Presidency. It has strong predictive strength.
If the Republican Party wants its strongest candidate, it should nominate Governor Hunstman without requiring him to pander.
No comments:
Post a Comment